Michael Tesler

The greater concern for Biden may be that his job approval numbers haven’t budged, even as rising wages and falling inflation have started to make Americans less gloomy about the economy. As political scientists John Sides of Vanderbilt University and Michael Tesler of UC Irvine wrote this week, “at this early date, approval ratings actually predict the eventual outcome better than polls do.” … Typically, as Sides and Tesler wrote, a president’s approval numbers go up at least a few points during an election year.

For the full story, please visit https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-03-22/bidens-big-speech-didnt-move-the-needle-will-anything.