Why Trump is polling much better among very conservative primary voters than in 2016
Why Trump is polling much better among very conservative primary voters than in 2016
- June 1, 2023
- Michael Tesler, poli sci, FiveThirtyEight, June 1, 2023
Michael Tesler, UCI professor of political science writes, “In a February 2016 poll
from Quinnipiac University, Trump received only 27 percent support among Republican
and Republican-leaning registered voters who described themselves as “very conservative”
…. Quinnipiac’s March 2023 poll, however, suggests that Trump now has the support
of 61 percent of “very conservative” Republican primary voters .… These results raise
the question of why the ideology of Trump’s base has changed so dramatically from
2016 to 2023. There are undoubtedly multiple factors at play here, but perhaps the
biggest are the profound ways in which Trump’s presidency shifted the meaning of conservatism
in U.S. politics.”
For the full story, please visit https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-polls-very-conservative-voters-2016-2024/.
Would you like to get more involved with the social sciences? Email us at communications@socsci.uci.edu to connect.
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