Bernard Grofman, UCI Distinguished Professor of political science, Jack W. Peltason Chair of Democracy Studies and Jonathan Cervas  write, “Here we will not try to forecast the 2020 election outcome. Instead, we will try to clarify how to understand the likely effect of the Electoral College in 2020. There are two different questions to answer.” 

For the full story, please visit https://medium.com/3streams/how-likely-is-trump-to-lose-the-popular-vote-but-win-the-electoral-college-cf5eeb90fc74.